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Situation: 166 active incidents · 2.5M acres in the 11-state corridor (WFIGS; includes prescribed burns and contained fires)Aug. analysisWhat stops large fires →Data updated Oct 3

Top-risk counties, one-pagers for BRIC applications

FEMA Building Resilient Infrastructure and Communities. The FY2026 application window closed 2026-07-23; these one-pagers remain available for FY2027 preparation and for supporting active applications in review. Generated by scripts/build_bric_one_pagers.py against the current Firewatch risk grid. Top 5 corridor counties.

How to use these

Each one-pager links to a printable HTML version (open and print to PDF) and a markdown source for editing. The quantitative figures:corridor-wide percentile, mean risk within 60 km of the county centroid, active fires within 50 miles:are citable directly. The recommended application-category list is a starting point; replace narrative language with locally specific detail before submission.

Methodology. Risk values come from the Firewatch fire-probability model (4 km grid, monthly timestep). The county-level summary takes the maximum cell risk within 60 km of the county centroid and reports its corridor-wide percentile. Active fires use the WFIGS feed refreshed daily by the site’s data pipeline. See /methods for the model card and limitations.

Caveat. The current risk grid clusters at the top end for several corridor counties (the model’s output saturates), so the top-N ranking may be California-heavy. A spatially blocked re-validation is in progress; one-pagers regenerate automatically once it lands.

Top 5 countiesGenerated 2026-10-03T16:55:49Z
CountyMax risk pctActive fires (50 mi)One-pager
Amador County, CA94.4th1HTMLMarkdown
Butte County, CA94.4th0HTMLMarkdown
Calaveras County, CA94.4th1HTMLMarkdown
Del Norte County, CA94.4th0HTMLMarkdown
El Dorado County, CA94.4th1HTMLMarkdown

This page is intentionally simple and intended for outreach to county emergency managers. Contact bric@pnw-firemap.org with questions, corrections, or to request a one-pager for a county not listed. PCSN is independent and not affiliated with FEMA or any federal/state/tribal agency.