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Nevada’s Insurance Betrayal

Published May 13, 2026 · Public Climate Science Network

On January 1, 2026, a law took effect in Nevada that did something no other state has done: it gave insurance companies the explicit right to exclude wildfire from standard homeowner policies entirely. Assembly Bill 376 does not limit coverage or raise premiums. It allows insurers to sell you a homeowner’s policy that simply does not cover fire. If your house burns, you have a policy. It just doesn’t pay. And unlike California, unlike 32 other states, Nevada has no FAIR Plan — no insurer of last resort, no state-backed backstop, no safety net of any kind. If the private market drops you, you are uninsured. Period.

The Scale of the Abandonment

The market was already retreating before A.B. 376 gave it permission to run. In 2023, 481 Nevada homeowner policies were non-renewed specifically due to wildfire risk — an 82% year-over-year increase. Total cancellations and non-renewals across all categories surged to approximately 158,000. For a state with roughly 1.2 million housing units, that is not a market correction. It is a market collapse.

The homeowners losing coverage are not concentrated in remote mountain cabins. Nevada’s wildland-urban interface — where development meets fire-prone vegetation — runs through the suburbs of Reno, the foothills above Henderson, the communities ringing Lake Tahoe. These are middle-class neighborhoods where families hold mortgages that require insurance they can no longer obtain.

California: The Opposite Approach

The contrast with California could not be sharper. While Nevada was removing protections, California enacted 9 new insurance laws effective January 1, 2026 — the most comprehensive wildfire insurance reform package in the nation’s history.

SB 429 created the nation’s first publicly available wildfire catastrophe model — a transparent, state-built risk assessment that replaces the proprietary black-box models insurers had used to justify premium hikes and non-renewals. SB 495, the “Eliminate The List Act,” ended the requirement that wildfire survivors produce an itemized inventory of everything they lost, instead mandating automatic payment of 60% of contents coverage without documentation. AB 888 created the Safe Homes Grant Program, funding fire-resistant upgrades — ember-resistant vents, Class A roofing, defensible space — for homeowners who could not afford them.

AB 1, the Insurance and Wildfire Safety Act, established a framework requiring insurers to offer coverage in communities that meet mitigation standards. AB 226 gave the California FAIR Plan access to catastrophe bonds — capital market instruments that transfer risk to investors rather than concentrating it in one state fund. SB 547 extended the post-disaster moratorium on policy cancellations to businesses, HOAs, and nonprofits, not just individual homeowners.

California’s problems remain severe. The FAIR Plan, originally designed as a last-resort insurer, has become the fastest-growing insurer in the state — a sign that the private market is still retreating. One in five California homes in extreme-risk wildfire areas has lost coverage since 2019. An estimated 150,000 households in the highest-risk zones remain uninsured. And since January 2025, $22.4 billion in wildfire claims have been distributed from the LA fires alone.

But California is building infrastructure to address the crisis. Nevada is building nothing.

Colorado Steps Forward

Colorado offers a third model. House Bill 25-1182, effective July 1, 2026, requires insurers to disclose the wildfire risk models they use to set premiums and make coverage decisions. It does not mandate coverage. It does not create a state backstop. But it does something fundamental: it forces transparency. Homeowners will, for the first time, be able to see the data and algorithms that determine whether they can insure their homes and at what price.

The bill passed because Colorado has recent, visceral experience with insurance market failure. After the Marshall Fire in December 2021 — which destroyed 1,084 homes in suburban Boulder County — residents discovered that many of their policies contained exclusions, sublimits, and valuation gaps that left them tens or hundreds of thousands of dollars short of rebuilding. Transparency will not solve that problem, but it makes the next betrayal harder to hide.

The Western Exposure

The insurance crisis is not confined to three states. Across the western United States, 1.2 million homes are classified at very high wildfire risk. The total potential rebuild cost for those properties is approximately $500 billion. The national average for homeowners insurance has reached $2,543 per year in 2026, but that average masks enormous geographic variation. In fire-prone areas, premiums of $5,000 to $15,000 are common — when coverage is available at all.

The market is behaving rationally. Insurers are exiting geographies where expected losses exceed expected premiums. The problem is that “rational market behavior” and “functional society” are not the same thing. When insurance becomes unavailable, mortgages become unobtainable. When mortgages disappear, property values collapse. When property values collapse, the tax base that funds fire departments, schools, and roads evaporates.

What This Means

Three states, three approaches. California is spending billions to build a public infrastructure for climate risk. Colorado is forcing transparency. Nevada is allowing the market to abandon its residents with no fallback.

Nevada’s approach is the cheapest in the short term and the most expensive in every other term. The next major wildfire in the Reno foothills or the Tahoe basin will produce uninsured losses on a scale the state has never experienced. Homeowners who believed they were covered will discover they are not. The cost will fall on individuals, on FEMA (if federal disaster declarations are issued), and on communities that will shrink as residents leave rather than rebuild without coverage.

A.B. 376 is not a deregulatory triumph. It is the state of Nevada telling its residents that when fire comes, they are on their own.

Sources

Nevada Current, “A.B. 376 allows wildfire exclusions in homeowner policies,” 2025. KQED, “California insurance reforms take effect January 1,” 2026. California Department of Insurance, press releases on SB 429, SB 495, AB 888, AB 1, AB 226, SB 547, 2025–2026. Fire Adapted Colorado, “HB 25-1182 wildfire risk model disclosure,” 2025. Headwaters Economics, “Wildfire risk and insurance availability in the western United States,” 2026. Medium/Purdy House, “The insurance crisis in fire-prone America,” 2026.